Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 2.948720e-05 0.000035 0.000041 0.000048 0.000056 0.000064 0.000074
2025-03-23 2.222748e-05 0.000029 0.000037 0.000048 0.000059 0.000073 0.000089
2025-03-30 1.721591e-05 0.000025 0.000034 0.000047 0.000062 0.000079 0.000102
2025-04-06 1.322515e-05 0.000021 0.000031 0.000045 0.000062 0.000084 0.000111
2025-04-13 9.790924e-06 0.000017 0.000027 0.000042 0.000061 0.000085 0.000117
2025-04-20 7.624038e-06 0.000015 0.000025 0.000040 0.000061 0.000088 0.000125
2025-04-27 6.287042e-06 0.000013 0.000024 0.000040 0.000063 0.000094 0.000135
2025-05-04 5.296996e-06 0.000012 0.000023 0.000040 0.000065 0.000099 0.000147
2025-05-11 4.917656e-06 0.000012 0.000024 0.000043 0.000071 0.000109 0.000164
2025-05-18 4.202333e-06 0.000011 0.000023 0.000043 0.000073 0.000115 0.000175
2025-05-25 3.153290e-06 0.000009 0.000021 0.000041 0.000072 0.000115 0.000179
2025-06-01 2.447803e-06 0.000008 0.000019 0.000039 0.000071 0.000117 0.000185
2025-06-08 1.803995e-06 0.000007 0.000018 0.000038 0.000072 0.000121 0.000195
2025-06-15 1.347074e-06 0.000006 0.000017 0.000038 0.000073 0.000126 0.000207
2025-06-22 9.683359e-07 0.000005 0.000015 0.000037 0.000074 0.000131 0.000218
2025-06-29 6.397235e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000035 0.000073 0.000133 0.000226
2025-07-06 3.637233e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000033 0.000071 0.000132 0.000229
2025-07-13 2.193400e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000031 0.000070 0.000134 0.000237
2025-07-20 1.459625e-07 0.000002 0.000011 0.000031 0.000072 0.000139 0.000249
2025-07-27 9.871398e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000031 0.000074 0.000146 0.000263
2025-08-03 8.649485e-08 0.000002 0.000011 0.000033 0.000080 0.000157 0.000286
2025-08-10 5.709816e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000034 0.000082 0.000164 0.000301
2025-08-17 2.214361e-08 0.000001 0.000009 0.000032 0.000080 0.000163 0.000304